USDA Projects Steady Growth in U.S. Dairy Production by 2026

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has announced its projections for dairy production through the year 2026, indicating a steady growth in milk output per cow. According to USDA Livestock Analyst Anthony Fischer, the growth in milk production has been consistent, although there has been a slight slowdown in recent years.

Fischer noted that genetic advancements and improved herd management practices are expected to continue driving milk output per cow into 2026. This steady growth has assisted farmers in managing production during periods of weather disruptions and decreases caused by Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI), particularly in California during the first quarter of the previous year.

In terms of milk components, Fischer highlighted that these are mirroring the growth in milk output per cow. The most recent quarterly milk fat percentage was recorded at 4.44%, marking a record high for all quarters. This trend reflects both genetic advancements and a shift in consumer preferences towards dairy products over fluid milk.

Fischer added that the milk fat percentage is expected to rise further by 2026, driven by increased output per cow and a dairy herd that is stabilizing rather than expanding rapidly. Seasonal patterns are anticipated to remain consistent, with an increase in milk production typically seen during the spring flush in the second quarter.