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US Election: Contrasting Agendas for Food and Agriculture from Trump and Harris

USA 30.10.2024
Source: DairyNews.today
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As agri-food issues take center stage in the 2024 US presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump present markedly different visions for the future of American agriculture.
US Election: Contrasting Agendas for Food and Agriculture from Trump and Harris
Key topics, including food inflation, industry consolidation, climate change, farm subsidies, trade, and labor, highlight the deep divides in their policy approaches, each reflecting broader ideological leanings of the Democratic and Republican parties.

Food Inflation and Industry Consolidation
Amid concerns over rising food prices, Harris and Trump propose opposing solutions. Harris has pledged to address inflation by enacting the first-ever federal ban on price gouging, targeting major food companies, the meat industry, and grocery retailers. She also plans to expand competition in the agri-food system and scrutinize mergers and acquisitions, citing the need for a fairer market landscape. Meanwhile, Trump attributes high food costs to the Biden administration’s spending policies. His strategy emphasizes lowering energy prices, reducing taxes, and deregulating industries as indirect methods to bring down food prices. Trump’s “drill baby drill” mantra echoes his belief that reducing fuel costs will benefit consumers broadly, though economists remain divided on its likely effectiveness in reducing food prices specifically.

Climate Change and Sustainable Agriculture
Harris aligns her agri-food policy with climate-focused initiatives, viewing climate change as a direct threat to food production. As a Green New Deal advocate, she promotes regenerative agriculture and incentives for sustainable practices aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Trump, conversely, took a deregulatory stance during his presidency, rolling back Obama-era policies such as the Waters of the United States (WOTUS) rule to reduce federal oversight of waterways impacting farms. He argues that easing regulations supports farmers’ economic well-being and has expressed minimal focus on environmental concerns within the agricultural sector.

Farm Subsidies: Different Motivations
Both candidates support farm subsidies, albeit with contrasting motives. Trump’s tenure was marked by substantial financial aid to farmers, particularly during the US-China trade war, to offset losses from retaliatory tariffs. His subsidies targeted immediate economic relief, protecting farmers’ export revenue amid volatile trade conditions. Harris, however, proposes an equity-focused approach, advocating for targeted support to small- and medium-sized farms, and communities historically marginalized in federal farm programs. She also suggests tying subsidies to environmental goals, encouraging farmers to adopt practices that reduce carbon emissions and promote sustainability.

Trade Policies and International Relations
Trade policies reflect another area of stark contrast. Trump’s protectionist stance involved renegotiating trade deals and imposing tariffs, notably on China, which triggered retaliatory measures impacting American farmers. While Trump later secured a Phase One trade agreement with China, the volatility during this period led farmers to rely on government support. Harris’s approach aligns with Democratic values favoring multilateral agreements, stable market conditions, and a commitment to environmental and labor standards in trade deals. She supports partnerships with allies, aiming to foster sustainable trade practices that benefit the US agricultural sector in a predictable manner.

Labor Policies and the Role of Immigration
In labor policy, Harris advocates for immigration reform, recognizing that Latin American immigrant labor is critical to US agriculture. Her proposal includes pathways to citizenship for undocumented farmworkers and enhanced labor protections, a stance reflecting the Democratic Party’s commitment to fair wages and safe working conditions. Trump’s approach to immigration during his presidency was restrictive, focusing on limiting the H-2A visa program and increasing immigration enforcement, leading to labor shortages in agriculture. Trump’s emphasis on protecting American jobs through immigration controls created uncertainty for farmers who rely on seasonal and immigrant labor.

Key Agri-Food Policy Expectations
Victor Martino, author of the analysis, notes that Harris has limited historical involvement in agri-food policy, but her statements indicate a commitment to fair competition and environmental sustainability. Her career background suggests a focus on anti-competitive practices, making her likely to scrutinize mergers within the food sector. Trump, with a record from his previous term, is expected to uphold similar policies if re-elected, doubling down on tariffs, deregulation, and immigration control, potentially signaling further disruption in the industry.

With each candidate proposing fundamentally different paths forward, the agri-food sector stands to face distinct impacts depending on the election outcome. For stakeholders in agriculture, understanding these differences is essential to preparing for the policies that may shape the industry's future.

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